A top Washington, D.C., congressional election tracker thinks U.S. Rep. Matt Cartwright’s chances of returning to Congress next year have improved.

The Cook Political Report has changed its rating of the 8th Congressional District from leans Democratic to likely Democratic.

Cartwright, a Moosic Democrat, faces former Wall Street banker John Chrin, a Republican from Barrett Twp., Monroe County, for the seat. Both have spent a ton of money on the race.

Two other trackers, Inside Elections and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, still have the race as leans Democratic.

We still have no public polling in the race. Nate Silver’s 538 has slightly downgraded Cartwright’s chances from 90 percent to 86.2 percent, and projects an 8.6-percentage-point victory rather than 10 points.

Chrin has hired Jerry Morgan to manage his get-out-the-vote effort. Morgan is a top state Republican political operative and former political guru and district director for former U.S. Rep. Don Sherwood.