Hot off my desktop.
I just got done figuring out the vote totals by region in the governor’s race.
Once again, a Democrat, this time Tom Wolf, used the increasingly reliable Ed Rendell strategy to win the state.
Mr. Rendell sort of patented the strategy when he ran for governor in 2002. He beat Bob Casey in the Democratic primary by winning only 10 of 67 counties – Philadelphia and eight counties around it plus Centre County where a lot of Philly kids go to Penn State.
Mr. Rendell repeated the strategy in the fall election against Republican Attorney General Mike Fisher, adding eight counties, mostly around Pittsburgh.
Back then, Mr. Rendell won because he was a well-liked Philadelphia mayor whose popularity extended outside the city. Since then, the number of Democratic voters in the ring counties around Philadelphia and in the east in general has greatly increased. That makes it easier for Democrats to repeat his strategy even if they don’t come from the southeast.
Barack Obama did it twice, Kathleen Kane did it to win the attorney general’s race, Mr. Casey did it in his 2012 re-election contest.
The days of Republicans countering the Democratic vote in Philadelphia (where Mr. Wolf won a remarkable 88 percent of the vote) with a big Republican vote in Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery are over. Democrats now outnumber Republicans in all but Chester and even the gap there is a lot smaller than it once was.
It’s why Mitt Romney never really campaigned here for president in 2012.
Anyway, on to the numbers.
These are with 9,113 of the 9,182 voting precincts, or 99.24 percent, reporting. (This happens after every election. There’s always precincts missing from the state vote total days later. I have to remind myself to check on why that is.)
Mr. Wolf leads with 1,982,193 votes, 54.82 percent, to Mr. Corbett’s 1,559,954, 45.18 percent. That’s a difference of 332,599 votes, or 9.64 percentage points.
Mr. Wolf won Philadelphia by 275,297 votes and Allegheny County (home of Pittsburgh) by 58,322 votes. Add them up and you basically get the final margin right there.
You also get to the final margin by looking at Mr. Wolf’s totals in the southeast, Philadelphia, its four immediately adjacent suburban counties – Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery – and four others in the Philly media market – Lehigh, Northampton, Berks and Lancaster.
Mr. Wolf won those nine counties by 372,704 votes as of today. He basically lost to Mr. Corbett by 40,000 votes in the rest of the state and still won.
Here’s how it went by region:
Allegheny County: Wolf, 205,311 (58.28 percent), Corbett, 146,989 (41.72 percent)
Philadelphia: Wolf, 319,075 (87.94 percent), Corbett, 43,778 (12.06 percent)
Northeast: Wolf, 215,908 (55.92 percent), Corbett, 170,181 (44.08 percent)
Southeast (Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery): Wolf, 448,341 (56.69 percent), Corbett, 342,524 (43.31 percent)
Northwest: Corbett, 160,750 (53.48 percent), Wolf, 139,840 (46.52 percent)
Southwest: Corbett, 174,057 (51.77 percent), Wolf, 162,128 (48.23 percent)
Central: Corbett, 521,315 (56.49 percent), Wolf, 401,590 (43.51 percent)
So Mr. Wolf won four regions and 24 counties, Mr. Corbett won three regions and 43 counties.
Hot off my desktop.