It looks to me like Democrats hoping for an unprecedented break in President Donald Trump’s political armor in Alabama will probably wind up disappointed.

Two new polls over the weekend show former state Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore has moved back into the lead against Democratic former U.S. Attorney Doug Jones.

Moore was up 49 percent to 46 percent in an Emerson College poll conducted between Thursday and Saturday. He led 49 percent to 43 percent in a CBS News/You Gov poll between Tuesday and Friday.

The last poll before those, one by the Washington Post, had Jones up 50 percent to 47 percent.

It’s crazy considering the accusations against Moore, but really not a big surprise as Five Thirty Eight points out. Alabama remains way redder than most states.

I’ve seen the same thing again and again over the years. When most polls have you losing, you lose. Since October, nine polls have had Moore ahead and five had Jones ahead, but Moore has led five of the last six, according to RealClearPolitics.

The special election to fill the seat left vacant when President Donald Trump appointed Sen. Jeff Sessions as attorney general will take place next Tuesday.

Trump’s endorsement of Moore yesterday tells me the president thinks Moore will win, too.